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MLB: Strikeouts Leader - Pitcher

How the prediction-market book is pricing "MLB: Strikeouts Leader - Pitcher" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Jacob Misiorowski 70% Cristopher Sánchez 20% Dylan Cease 12% Paul Skenes 7% Volume: $3.0M Liquidity: $38K
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MLB: Strikeouts Leader - Pitcher

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legit?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Jacob Misiorowski70%
Cristopher Sánchez20%
Dylan Cease12%
Paul Skenes7%
Cam Schlittler2%
Garrett Crochet1%
Tarik Skubal1%
Jesús Luzardo1%
Hunter Brown1%
Sonny Gray1%
Bryan Woo1%
Shota Imanaga1%
Reid Detmers1%
Nolan McLean1%
Max Fried1%
Kevin Gausman1%
Logan Webb0%
Freddy Peralta0%
Carlos Rodón0%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto0%
Zack Wheeler0%
Joe Ryan0%
Taj Bradley0%
José Soriano0%
Logan Gilbert0%
Emerson Hancock0%
Hunter Greene0%
Shohei Ohtani0%
Pitcher A0%
Pitcher B0%
Pitcher C0%
Pitcher D0%
Pitcher E0%
Pitcher F0%
Pitcher G0%
Pitcher H0%
Pitcher I0%
Pitcher J0%
Pitcher K0%
Pitcher L0%
Pitcher M0%
Pitcher N0%
Pitcher O0%
Pitcher P0%
Pitcher Q0%
Pitcher R0%
Pitcher S0%
Pitcher T0%
Pitcher U0%
Pitcher V0%
Pitcher W0%
Pitcher X0%
Pitcher Y0%
Pitcher Z0%
Pitcher AA0%
Pitcher AB0%
Pitcher AC0%
Pitcher AD0%
Pitcher AE0%
Pitcher AF0%
Pitcher AG0%
Pitcher AH0%
Pitcher AI0%
Pitcher AJ0%
Pitcher AK0%
Pitcher AL0%
Pitcher AM0%
Pitcher AN0%
Pitcher AO0%
Pitcher AP0%
Pitcher AQ0%
Pitcher AR0%
Pitcher AS0%
Pitcher AT0%
Pitcher AU0%
Pitcher AV0%
Pitcher AW0%
Pitcher AX0%
Other0%

Market context

The MLB: Strikeouts Leader - Pitcher prediction market currently prices this outcome at 70% YES. This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the most strikeouts among pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve …

Methodology

We track MLB: Strikeouts Leader - Pitcher across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Legit?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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Related Topics

Sports