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Mexico vs. England - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Mexico vs. England - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 89% England O/U 0.5 71% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 71% O/U 1.5 67% Volume: $174K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Mexico vs. England - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legit?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.589%
England O/U 0.571%
2nd Half O/U 0.571%
O/U 1.567%
Mexico O/U 0.565%
1st Half O/U 0.564%
England 2nd Half O/U 0.551%
Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
England 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Both Teams to Score48%
Team to Advance47%
England 1st Half O/U 0.541%
O/U 2.540%
Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.538%
2nd Half O/U 1.536%
England O/U 1.534%
Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.530%
Will the Match Go to Extra Time?30%
Mexico O/U 1.528%
1st Half O/U 1.527%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half22%
Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?21%
O/U 3.520%
England (-1.5)17%
Both Teams to Score in First Half17%
Mexico (-1.5)13%
2nd Half O/U 2.513%
England O/U 2.512%
England 1st Half O/U 1.511%
Mexico O/U 2.59%
O/U 4.58%
1st Half O/U 2.58%
Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.58%
England (-2.5)6%
Mexico (-2.5)4%
O/U 5.53%
England (-3.5)2%
Mexico (-4.5)2%
England (-4.5)2%
Mexico (-3.5)1%
O/U 6.51%
O/U 7.51%
O/U 8.51%
Mexico (-5.5)0%
England (-5.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 89% probability to mexico vs. england - more markets. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 5 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Mexico vs. England - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Legit?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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