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Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

2% YES 98% NO Volume: $631K Liquidity: $135K Closes: 27 Jun 2026
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket Legit? Pick
polygram.ink
 2% 98% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 2% 98% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket Legit? →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Legit?.

Active sub-markets

Spread -1.52% Houston Astros98% Cleveland Guardians
O/U 8.5100% Over0% Under
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5100% Cleveland Guardians0% Houston Astros
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50% Houston Astros100% Cleveland Guardians
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5100% Cleveland Guardians0% Houston Astros
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50% Houston Astros100% Cleveland Guardians

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 2% YES probability for Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros. In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Houston Astros, scheduled for June 20 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the g…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 2% probability for "Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros".

YES 2% NO 98%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $631K.

Methodology

We track Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legit??
Zero. Polymarket Legit? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legit? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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