Tunisia vs. Japan - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Tunisia and Japan meet in the FIFA World Cup group stage, and Polymarket is pricing the **More Markets** contract at **4% YES** in USDC on Polygon via conditional tokens. That is a low crowd-implied chance that extra market launches or related conditional outcomes around the fixture will be activated before the settlement window closes at 2026-06-21T04:00:00Z.

For context, the related match markets point to Japan as the stronger side: CryptoSlate notes Japan is priced as the clear favourite, with the draw the most obvious challenge to that view, while Tunisia’s outright path would require a more specific match script[1]. That sort of baseline matters for a “More Markets” contract, because a lopsided pre-match board often leaves less room for new side markets unless there is fresh official content, a notable in-game development, or a late schedule change. Japan’s coach has also publicly talked up the need to match Tunisia’s intensity, which reinforces that the fixture is being treated as a live competitive event rather than a formality[5].

A trader watching this name on Polymarket would focus on FIFA and event-level announcements, market listing behaviour, and any dependency on the match going ahead exactly as scheduled in Monterrey. Comparable football prediction markets show that settlement language can hinge on whether a player or match event actually occurs, and contracts often rely on the final official status rather than pre-match assumptions[2][4]. In practical terms, the key watchpoints are whether additional Tunisia-Japan props appear before kick-off, whether the event timetable shifts, and whether any last-minute federation or platform updates affect what counts as a resolvable “more markets” outcome.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Tunisia vs. Japan - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Legit? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Legit? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legit??

Zero. Polymarket Legit? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.