LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

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Market context

The Polymarket contract currently prices KT Rolster's victory at 44%, reflecting a substantial underdog position against T1 in this LCK best-of-three fixture. The match forms part of the League of Legends Champions Korea regular season and carries settlement implications tied to the 28 May 16:00 UTC deadline. On-chain liquidity sits across USDC-denominated conditional tokens on Polygon, with the binary outcome structure resolving either to a KT Rolster win or T1 win, provided the match concludes within the seven-day buffer window.

Historical precedent suggests T1's dominance in head-to-head records against KT Rolster warrants the implied probability gap. T1 has secured multiple LCK titles and consistently performs in international tournaments, whilst KT Rolster has struggled with roster stability and mid-season form in recent competitive cycles. The 44% price for KT reflects genuine uncertainty rather than dismissal—roster changes, patch-dependent meta shifts, and individual player performance variance have historically created upset conditions in LCK matchups.

Traders monitoring this contract should track LCK schedule confirmations and any roster announcements from either organisation in the days preceding 28 May. Recent patch notes affecting champion viability and jungle pathing mechanics influence team preparation timelines. Injury reports or last-minute substitutions, typically announced via LCK's official channels or team social media within 24 hours of fixture time, represent material information. The settlement window's tight closure at 16:00 UTC means delayed matches risk the 50-50 resolution clause, a consideration for positions held through the final hours.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.