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Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova

Five-platform snapshot of "Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova 100% Completed Match 100% Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $121K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legit?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova100%
Completed Match100%
Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova Match O/U 21.5100%
Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova Set 2 Winner100%
Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova Match O/U 22.5100%
Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova Match O/U 23.5100%
Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova Set 1 Winner0%
Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, quito: matheus pucinelli de almeida vs hernan casanova stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida and Hernan Casanova in the Quito, originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Legit?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova on Polymarket Legit?

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Related Topics

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