LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Eintracht Spandau face Anubis Gaming in a best-of-three decider match within EMEA Masters Group D, scheduled for 12 June at 2:00PM ET. The conditional tokens on Polymarket currently price this fixture at 100% YES, meaning the market has absorbed full confidence that the match will occur and produce a decisive outcome by the settlement window closure on 12 June at 22:50 UTC. This pricing reflects the standard assumption that a scheduled League of Legends competitive fixture will proceed without cancellation, tie, or seven-day delay—the three scenarios that would trigger a 50-50 resolution.

EMEA Masters decider matches historically proceed as scheduled, with cancellations or extended delays remaining rare in the regional circuit. The 100% probability reflects both the structural reliability of Riot's scheduling and the fact that neither team has a documented history of fixture complications. However, the settlement window allows only 20 hours and 50 minutes after the scheduled start time, creating a narrow margin for technical issues, server problems, or administrative delays that could push resolution past the deadline and force a 50-50 split.

Traders should monitor Riot's official EMEA Masters announcements and both teams' social channels for any schedule changes, roster updates, or technical warnings in the 48 hours preceding the match. Polygon network conditions and USDC liquidity on the conditional tokens themselves warrant attention, particularly if trading volume spikes near settlement. The decider format means both teams arrive with equal stakes, reducing the likelihood of forfeit but increasing the probability of extended matches that could test the settlement window's tightness.

Methodology

We track LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legit? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.