Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Legit? Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Legit?.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% KUUSAMO.gg | 100% Passion Academy |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% KUUSAMO.gg | 0% Passion Academy |
| Match Winner | 100% KUUSAMO.gg | 0% Passion Academy |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: KSM (-1.5) vs Passion Academy (+1.5) | 0% KUUSAMO.gg | 100% Passion Academy |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
KUUSAMO.gg has already defeated Passion Academy 2–1 in the United21 Season 51 Group D Losers’ Match, a result that renders the current prediction market for a future BO3 between the same teams effectively void [1][2]. On Polymarket, this contract trades at 0% YES for KUUSAMO.gg, reflecting the on-chain reality that the underlying event has concluded and the conditional tokens for this outcome are now worthless [1]. The USDC settlement on Polygon will resolve to KUUSAMO.gg immediately, as the match outcome is already recorded, making any further trading purely a mechanical exercise in clearing stale positions [2].
Historically, similar markets where a match result was pre-determined or duplicated due to scheduling errors have collapsed to zero probability within hours of the official result being logged, as traders recognise the conditional tokens cannot settle against a non-existent future event [3]. In past United21 seasons, teams like KUUSAMO.gg that dominate Group D early often face no repeat elimination matches, and when duplicate fixtures are listed, the market price corrects instantly once the primary result is confirmed [3]. This pattern mirrors the current 0% pricing, where the crowd-implied probability aligns with the factual conclusion that the match is already over.
Traders should monitor official tournament announcements from United21 for any schedule corrections or cancellation notices, though none are expected given the match’s completion [1]. Recent updates from Strafe confirm the 2–1 result and list the event as finished, removing any dependency on future streaming or live-score dependencies [1]. With the settlement window ending 2026-06-22, the only catalyst is the on-chain confirmation of the result, which has already occurred, leaving no actionable news to watch beyond the existing record [1][2].
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Legit? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Legit? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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