About the author
Marc Jakob is Senior Editor at PolyGram, focused on prediction markets, crypto order flow, and the mechanics of decentralised settlement systems. Since 2018 he has analysed how Polymarket, Kalshi and Betfair Exchange translate probability estimates into live order-book quotes.
His coverage spans market structure (CLOB vs. AMM design), on-chain resolution via the UMA Optimistic Oracle, and the evolving regulatory landscape for prediction-market platforms in the EU and US. Marc has published on conditional-token architectures, liquidity fragmentation, and cross-platform arbitrage.
Before PolyGram, Marc worked as a quant analyst at a Frankfurt buy-side desk and wrote about DeFi structures for English-language crypto publications.
Areas of expertise
Prediction MarketsPolymarketOn-Chain SettlementUSDCPolygonMarket StructureDeFi
Recent articles by Marc Jakob
Is Polymarket Legal? Country-by-Country Guide 2025
1 April 2026is Polymarket legal
Polymarket vs Betfair: Which is Better for Prediction Markets?
1 April 2026Polymarket vs Betfair
Best Prediction Markets 2025: Full Platform Comparison
1 April 2026best prediction markets 2025
Prediction Market Strategies: How to Profit in 2026
28 April 2026prediction market strategies
Is Polymarket Legal? Regulation Guide for 2026
28 April 2026is polymarket legal
Election Prediction Markets: How They Work in 2026
28 April 2026election prediction markets
Understanding Prediction Market Odds and Probability
28 April 2026prediction market odds
Understanding Liquidity in Prediction Markets
1 May 2026prediction market liquidity
Hedging Strategies Using Prediction Markets
1 May 2026hedging with prediction markets
Crypto Futures vs Prediction Markets: Key Differences
1 May 2026crypto futures vs prediction markets
10 Common Prediction Market Mistakes (and How to Avoid Them)
1 May 2026prediction market mistakes
Prediction Market Regulation in 2026: What's Legal Where?
1 May 2026prediction market regulation 2026
Prediction Market Signals: How Traders Read the Odds
1 May 2026prediction market signals
How AI Is Changing Prediction Markets in 2026
1 May 2026AI prediction markets
How Accurate Are Prediction Markets? The Research
1 May 2026prediction market accuracy
Prediction Markets vs Sports Betting: Key Differences & Which Wins
1 May 2026prediction market vs sports betting
Election Prediction Markets 2026: Real-Time Odds for Midterms & Global Votes
1 May 2026election prediction markets 2026
NFL 2026 Prediction Markets: Super Bowl LXI Odds & Season Guide
1 May 2026NFL prediction markets 2026
Kalshi Alternative 2026: Why PolyGram Beats CFTC-Regulated Markets
1 May 2026kalshi alternative
Polymarket Review 2026: Is It Still the Best Prediction Market Platform?
1 May 2026polymarket review 2026
Best Sports Prediction Market App 2026: Trade NFL, NBA, Soccer & More
1 May 2026sports prediction market app
NBA 2026 Finals Prediction Markets: Championship Odds & Playoff Guide
1 May 2026NBA prediction markets 2026
FIFA World Cup 2026 Prediction Markets: Winner Odds, Group Stage & More
1 May 2026FIFA World Cup 2026 prediction market
How Accurate Are Prediction Markets? Research & Evidence from 2016-2026
1 May 2026how accurate are prediction markets
Conditional Prediction Markets Explained: How Nested Forecasts Work
1 May 2026conditional prediction markets
Wimbledon 2026 Prediction Markets: Men's & Women's Draw Odds
1 May 2026wimbledon prediction market 2026
CLOB vs AMM in Prediction Markets: Which Order Matching Is Better?
1 May 2026CLOB vs AMM prediction market
Prediction Market Tax Guide 2026: US, UK, Germany & Global Overview
1 May 2026prediction market tax guide 2026
2026 US Midterm Elections Prediction Markets: Senate & House Control Odds
1 May 20262026 midterm elections prediction market
Prediction Market Best Practices 2026: Professional Trader Checklist
2 May 2026prediction market best practices
Science & Technology Prediction Markets 2026: Space, AI & Biotech Milestones
2 May 2026science technology prediction market 2026
How to Spot Value in Prediction Markets: 5 Signs a Market Is Mispriced
2 May 2026mispriced prediction market value
Climate & Environment Prediction Markets 2026: CO2, Temperature & Policy Odds
2 May 2026climate prediction market 2026
Prediction Market Community 2026: Telegram Groups, Discord & Learning Resources
2 May 2026prediction market community 2026
Bitcoin Halving Impact Prediction Markets: Post-Halving Price Cycle Odds
2 May 2026bitcoin halving prediction market
Esports Prediction Markets 2026: LoL, CS2, Valorant & Major Tournament Odds
2 May 2026esports prediction market 2026
Polymarket vs Betfair 2026: Which Exchange Is Better for Sports Traders?
2 May 2026polymarket vs betfair
ATP & WTA Rankings Prediction Markets 2026: Year-End Leaderboard Odds
2 May 2026ATP rankings prediction market 2026
Political Prediction Market Strategy: How to Trade Elections & Policy Markets
2 May 2026political prediction market strategy
How to Deposit USDC on Polymarket/PolyGram: The Fastest 2026 Methods
2 May 2026polymarket deposit USDC 2026
Winter Sports Prediction Markets 2026: Skiing, Snowboarding & Ice Sports
2 May 2026winter sports prediction market 2026
La Liga Prediction Markets 2025/26: Real Madrid, Barcelona & Title Race Odds
2 May 2026la liga prediction market 2026
