# of views of MrBeast video day 2?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's next YouTube upload will accumulate views across its first 48 hours, with traders on Polymarket currently pricing the YES side at zero, suggesting the market expects the video to fall below the lowest bracket threshold. The settlement mechanism requires verification through the public view counter on his channel at the 48-hour mark, with USDC collateral locked in conditional tokens on Polygon until resolution occurs. Given the 0% implied probability, the market is effectively pricing this as an edge case—either the video hasn't launched yet or traders believe it will underperform historical benchmarks dramatically.

MrBeast's upload cadence and viewership patterns provide crucial context. His recent videos consistently breach 100 million views within 48 hours; a June 2024 upload reached 150 million in the same window. The 0% pricing reflects either extreme scepticism about this particular video's appeal or uncertainty about whether it has actually been posted. Historical performance suggests any video from his channel clears low-bracket thresholds routinely, making the current odds a statistical anomaly worth examining against actual upload timing.

Traders should monitor his channel directly for upload confirmation and watch for any announced delays or format changes. MrBeast occasionally experiments with different content structures or release schedules that could suppress early viewership. The settlement window closing 16 June 2026 allows sufficient time for the 48-hour measurement period to complete, but the zero probability suggests the market may be waiting on concrete evidence of publication before meaningful price discovery occurs.

Methodology

We track # of views of MrBeast video day 2? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Legit? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legit??

Zero. Polymarket Legit? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.