Highest temperature in Seoul on June 24?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The highest temperature recorded at Incheon International Airport on 24 June 2026 will likely fall between 22°C and 29°C, consistent with early summer patterns in Seoul. Historical data shows June daytime highs in Seoul typically range from 19°C to 28°C, with late June becoming noticeably hotter and more humid as the monsoon season approaches [1][3]. The average warmest day in Seoul during June reaches 26.7°C, while the month’s end sees temperatures climb toward 26°C [2][9]. Given these norms, a 0% YES probability on the prediction market suggests the crowd expects the temperature to stay well below any extreme threshold, aligning with typical pre-monsoon conditions rather than midsummer heatwaves.

Traders should monitor the Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range forecasts and Wunderground’s hourly updates for Incheon, as humidity and precipitation levels will directly influence peak temperatures [5]. Recent travel guidance notes that late June brings higher rain chances and rising heat, with temperatures expected to reach 22–29°C [10]. Any sudden shift in the monsoon onset—usually late June to mid-July—could alter the thermal profile, making real-time weather data critical for assessing market moves [1][3]. On-chain, conditional tokens priced in USDC on Polygon will reflect these shifts instantly, with liquidity responding to forecast updates rather than abstract climate models.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Legit? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legit??

Zero. Polymarket Legit? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.