Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 4?

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Market context

On 4 June 2026, the highest temperature recorded at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station will fall into one of several defined ranges. The market currently prices all temperature brackets at 0% YES, reflecting either incomplete liquidity or genuine uncertainty about which specific range will settle. Traders on Polygon are transacting USDC-denominated conditional tokens, with settlement contingent on Wunderground's historical weather data for that single day.

Guangzhou's June climate sits at the threshold between late spring and early summer, with typical daily highs ranging from 30–33°C. Historical records show June temperatures occasionally exceed 35°C during heat waves, though such extremes remain infrequent. The 0% pricing across all brackets suggests the market may lack sufficient trader participation to establish meaningful probabilities, rather than indicating genuine consensus that no temperature will be recorded. Comparable weather markets on Polymarket typically see activity concentrate around the most probable range once trading volume increases.

Traders should monitor China's meteorological forecasts released in late May and early June, particularly alerts from the China Meteorological Administration regarding heat events or monsoon activity affecting southern provinces. Recent patterns show Guangzhou experiences occasional early-summer heat spikes driven by high-pressure systems moving inland from the Pacific. Settlement hinges entirely on Wunderground's historical data pull from Baiyun station; traders should verify the station's operational status and data reliability before committing capital, as any station outages or data gaps could affect resolution clarity.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Legit? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legit??

Zero. Polymarket Legit? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legit? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.