Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 25?

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Active sub-markets

Market context

On 25 May 2026, the highest temperature recorded at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport will fall into one of several defined ranges. Polymarket currently prices all outcomes at 0% YES, indicating the market has not yet attracted meaningful liquidity or trader conviction across any temperature bracket. This absence of pricing reflects the typical early-stage dynamics for weather contracts settled months in advance, where conditional token pairs on Polygon remain dormant until nearer the event window or a catalyst shifts trader focus toward the underlying forecast.

Atlanta's May temperatures historically cluster in the mid-to-high 80s Fahrenheit, with daily highs averaging around 82–86°F. The city's record high for May stands at 96°F, set in 1941, though May 25 specifically has seen highs ranging from 71°F to 92°F across recent decades. This historical spread suggests the market's outcome ranges are calibrated to capture typical late-spring variability rather than extreme outliers. Traders evaluating conditional token positions should reference Wunderground's historical data for 25 May across multiple years to establish baseline expectations before the USDC settlement window opens.

The National Weather Service's extended forecasts, typically issued 10–14 days ahead, will become the primary catalyst for liquidity migration into this contract. Seasonal patterns—including Atlantic tropical activity, upper-level ridge positioning, and soil moisture anomalies—can shift May 25 temperatures materially. Traders should monitor NOAA's Climate Prediction Center outlooks for spring 2026 and any El Niño or La Niña signals that might influence southeastern US weather patterns during late May.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legit??

Zero. Polymarket Legit? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legit? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.