Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Legit? Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Legit?.
Active sub-markets
Market context
Polymarket has this contract pinned at **0% YES** for a first-day MrBeast Gaming view count outcome, which means the market is effectively pricing in the lowest bracket unless there is a fresh upload and a rapid audience response on the channel. Settlement is tied to the first 24 hours after the next MrBeast Gaming video is posted, and the contract will still wait out the full day even if the view figure is clear earlier; because the market is USDC-settled on Polygon via conditional tokens, traders are really wagering on both upload timing and traffic velocity, not just the headline view number.
For context, MrBeast Gaming’s own channel messaging still frames uploads as “every single Saturday at noon eastern time”, which is useful for timing but not a guarantee of a post on any given week.[3] The broader MrBeast ecosystem has also been busy: Beast Games season 2 finished its run in February 2026 after launching in January, showing that the wider brand can absorb attention even when the gaming feed is quiet.[1][7][9] A zero-priced outcome usually reflects the market’s belief that a qualifying upload is unlikely to land inside the settlement window, or that any upload would need exceptional performance to escape the lowest bucket.
The main catalysts to watch are a scheduled Saturday upload on MrBeast Gaming, any social posts from the main MrBeast accounts pointing to a gaming video, and whether the channel pauses for larger franchise work or sponsorship-driven production cycles. The settlement clause also matters: if no MrBeast Gaming video appears by 30 June 2026, the contract resolves to the lowest range bracket, which gives traders a hard deadline rather than an open-ended wait. In practical terms, the question for Polymarket users is whether the next upload is both timely and strong enough to clear the first-day bracket threshold before the window closes.
Methodology
This page reviews # of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Legit? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legit??
- Zero. Polymarket Legit? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade # of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1? on Polymarket Legit?
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