Figueira Da Foz: Alina Charaeva vs Ayla Aksu

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is currently pricing this Figueira da Foz semifinal at **100% YES**, which means the contract is effectively trading as if Alina Charaeva’s progression is a near-certainty, not merely a slight edge. On Polymarket, the position is settled in **USDC** on **Polygon** through conditional tokens, so the payout depends strictly on the match outcome or the market’s fallback rules rather than on who looked better in pre-match form.

The live tennis listings put the match on **20 June 2026** at around **11:10–11:30 UTC** in the Figueira da Foz Ladies Open semi-finals, with multiple score services and tournament pages aligned on that schedule.[1][2][3] That matters because a 100% price can still be vulnerable if the fixture is not actually played as scheduled, or if an interruption pushes it outside the seven-day settlement window; in those cases, the market can revert to the stated tie-style outcome rather than a standard winner take-all resolution.

For a Polymarket user, the main things to watch are simple: whether both players are officially listed in the draw, whether the match starts on time, and whether any retirement, walkover, or cancellation alters the settlement path. Because the contract references advancement rather than just the scoreline, a completed walkover would still matter, but a non-played cancellation would not resolve the same way. The best live signals are the tournament order of play and any updated match status from the event feed, since those determine whether this 100% price reflects a finished result or merely an assumed one.[2][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legit??

Zero. Polymarket Legit? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.