Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Alina Charaeva

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this contract at **100% YES** in USDC on Polygon, which means the market is effectively assuming Susan Bandecchi has already advanced over Alina Charaeva and that the conditional tokens tied to that outcome are settled. On Polymarket, the key point is not just who won on court, but whether the official result is recognised within the settlement rules before the window closes on 2026-06-26T09:00:00Z.

The main historical anchor here is the pair’s previous meeting in this event: tennis databases show Bandecchi beat Charaeva 2-1 in the Ladies Open Figueira da Foz quarter-final in Portugal on hard court, which is the clearest comparable case for reading the current price.[1][5] Sofascore also lists this as the next match and indicates Bandecchi won 2-1, reinforcing the idea that the contract is being treated as already resolved in favour of Bandecchi rather than as a live 50-50 contest.[7] For a market already at 100%, the practical trading question is usually less about pre-match form and more about whether the exchange’s settlement data confirm the advance cleanly.[4]

A trader should watch for official tournament updates, draw changes, and any note that the match was postponed, walked over, or otherwise left incomplete, because those are the situations that can flip settlement towards 50-50 under the contract rules. Third-party live listings were already carrying the fixture and match result, which suggests the decisive catalyst is now confirmation consistency rather than play itself.[2][6] If the event record or scoring feed were to conflict with the market’s interpretation before the window ends, that is the kind of dependency that can matter more than the headline score line.[4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legit? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.