Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nerman Fatic vs Kyrian Jacquet

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Market context

The Roland Garros men’s qualifying match between Nerman Fatic and Kyrian Jacquet is priced at 0% YES on Polymarket, using USDC on Polygon and conditional tokens that will settle to the listed winner if one player advances. That implies the contract is either not yet trading in size or is effectively ignored by the crowd, even though the underlying match is live in the qualifying draw and was scheduled for 20 May. In practical terms, a 0% print means the market is not assigning any meaningful chance to one side at present, rather than making a reliable statement about the tennis itself.

The recent head-to-head is a useful anchor: Fatic leads 1-0, with that meeting also on clay, and won 7-5, 6-4. Both players came through earlier qualifying rounds, with Jacquet beating Lorenzo Giustino and Fatic beating Luka Mikrut, so the market is tracking a lower-level clay-court contest rather than a high-profile ATP main-draw event. Odds sources currently lean towards Jacquet overall, but the on-chain price is disconnected from those off-chain books, which is often the case when liquidity is thin or the contract has not yet been actively repriced.

For traders, the key catalysts are simple: whether the match starts on time, whether either player is withdrawn, and whether the result is completed within the seven-day settlement window. Recent live listings from Flashscore, ESPN and ATP Tour confirm the fixture is on the qualifying schedule, while odds sites still show Jacquet as the shorter-priced player. If the match is not played at all, ends level for any reason, or is delayed beyond 27 May without a winner, the market resolves 50-50; if play begins but does not finish, the advancing player determines settlement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nerman Fatic vs Kyrian Jacquet across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.