Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legit?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
73% | 27% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
73% | 27% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 73% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff | 61% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff Set 2 Winner | 57% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff Set 1 Winner | 57% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 21.5 | 56% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 23.5 | 44% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 43% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 40% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 38% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 25% |
Market context
Market consensus: 73% chance of wimbledon wta: jessica pegula vs coco gauff. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Coco Gauff in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Legit? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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