Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legit?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx | 100% |
| O/U 167.5 | 100% |
| O/U 166.5 | 100% |
| O/U 165.5 | 100% |
| Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 99% |
| Natasha Howard: Points O/U 16.5 | 92% |
| Brittney Griner: Points O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 91% |
| Courtney Williams: Points O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| Courtney Williams: Points O/U 17.5 | 91% |
| Natasha Howard: Points O/U 15.5 | 91% |
| Courtney Williams: Points O/U 15.5 | 90% |
| Kayla McBride: Points O/U 15.5 | 90% |
| Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 4.5 | 90% |
| Natasha Howard: Assists O/U 2.5 | 90% |
| Natasha Howard: Points O/U 14.5 | 90% |
| Nia Coffey: Assists O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Kayla McBride: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kayla McBride: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Leïla Lacan: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Nia Coffey: Points O/U 8.5 | 10% |
| Natasha Howard: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Nia Coffey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Leïla Lacan: Assists O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Kayla McBride: Assists O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Natasha Howard: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 9% |
| Nia Coffey: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 9% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 6 at 8:00PM ET: If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun". If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $319K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Legit?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Legit? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx on Polymarket Legit?
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →