Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Other | — | |
| Merab Dvalishvili | 82% YES | 18% NO |
| Cory Sandhagen | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Song Yadong | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Rob Font | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Pedro Munhoz | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Petr Yan, the former UFC bantamweight champion, requires an official UFC announcement specifying his next opponent and a scheduled fight date to settle this market. The Russian fighter has competed sporadically since losing his title to Aljamain Sterling in 2021, with recent bouts against Deiveson Figueiredo and Kai Kara-France in 2024. Any conditional token holder on Polygon will profit only when the UFC formally confirms Yan's next matchup through official channels—speculation or leaked negotiations do not trigger settlement, regardless of how credible the source.
Historical precedent suggests Yan's next opponent will likely emerge from the bantamweight or featherweight divisions, given his recent activity at 135 pounds and occasional ventures to 145. Previous Yan matchups have typically been announced 6–10 weeks before fight dates, though the UFC has compressed timelines for high-profile fighters. The market's settlement window extends through December 2026, providing substantial runway for multiple potential bouts given Yan's current fighting frequency.
Traders should monitor official UFC social media channels and press releases for formal announcements, particularly around major fight cards or pay-per-view events where Yan might be positioned. Recent reports from MMA media outlets including ESPN MMA and The Athletic have suggested the promotion is exploring matchups for Yan in early 2025, though none have received official confirmation with scheduled dates. Contract negotiations and injury status remain critical variables—Yan's availability directly constrains the UFC's ability to book him, making injury reports and training camp updates material information for position management.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.1M.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Who will Petr Yan fight next? on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →