Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
25% | 75% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
25% | 75% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Jeff Bezos | 25% YES | 76% NO |
| Larry Ellison | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Marshawn Lynch | 35% YES | 65% NO |
| John Stanton | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Tim Cook | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Buyer D | — | |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this contract at 25% for a binding Seahawks sale announcement by the cutoff, so on-chain traders on Polygon are still treating an “Other” resolution as the base case. Because the market settles in USDC against conditional tokens, the key question is not whether the franchise is eventually sold, but whether Vulcan LLC reaches and publicly confirms a majority-interest deal before 9 September 2026.
That probability sits in the same broad bucket as other NFL control-sale situations that have drawn early speculation but limited buyer depth: wealthy strategics can surface quickly, yet the process often narrows once financing, league approval and family-ownership preferences are tested. ESPN reported this week that interest in the Seahawks has been softer than initially expected, with sources saying the buyer pool is small. The same report named Aditya Mittal, Wyc Grousbeck and Vinod Khosla as potential bidders, after earlier chatter around Mark Zuckerberg and Tim Cook was pared back by later denials.
For traders, the main catalysts are formal letters of intent, confirmation that Allen & Company is still running the process, and any league-facing announcement that a binding agreement has been reached. A public bid can still fade if exclusivity, valuation or governance terms do not line up, and the market only resolves on an actual agreed sale to a named individual, not on expressions of interest. That makes any verified ownership update, especially from Vulcan or a major outlet such as ESPN or Sportico, the most important price-moving event.
Methodology
This page reviews Who will buy the Seattle Seahawks? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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