SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Napoli travel to Udinese on 24 May for a Serie A fixture scheduled at 9:00 AM ET, with settlement tied to the availability of additional markets on Polymarket's platform by 13:00 UTC that day. The 0% probability currently priced reflects either minimal liquidity in the conditional token pair or genuine scarcity of related betting interest—a common pattern when markets depend on Polymarket's own infrastructure decisions rather than match outcomes. USDC settlement on Polygon means execution happens on-chain, but the underlying condition remains whether supplementary markets materialise before the deadline, not the match itself.

Historical precedent suggests Polymarket's "more markets" contracts rarely attract sustained volume unless the primary fixture generates exceptional trading activity. When Napoli faced high-stakes encounters earlier in the 2025–26 season, secondary market bundles occasionally launched within hours of kick-off, though delays past settlement windows have occurred. The current zero valuation implies traders either expect no additional markets or view the probability as immaterial given typical liquidity patterns for mid-table Serie A clashes.

Catalysts centre on Polymarket's operational schedule and whether the fixture generates sufficient user demand to justify market creation. Napoli's recent form and any late-season relegation or European qualification implications for either club could drive broader platform activity. The 9:00 AM ET start time—early for North American traders—may suppress initial interest, whilst European market hours could see conditions shift. Settlement hinges entirely on Polymarket's discretionary market-launch decisions, making this contract sensitive to platform capacity and commercial priorities rather than football outcomes.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.