Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| IK Start (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| IK Start (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
IK Start and Vålerenga Fotball meet in the Norwegian Eliteserien on 25 May at 08:30 ET. The conditional token market on Polymarket currently settles at 100% YES, meaning traders are pricing in certainty that additional markets—likely player props, half-time results, or corner totals—will be offered for this fixture. On-chain, this contract trades in USDC on Polygon, with settlement contingent on whether the Polymarket team actually deploys supplementary betting instruments alongside the primary match outcome markets by the settlement window close on 25 May at 12:30 UTC.
Historical precedent suggests Polymarket routinely adds secondary markets for Eliteserien matches involving established clubs. Vålerenga, a top-tier Oslo side with consistent media coverage, typically attracts enough trading volume to justify expanded market offerings. Start, based in Kristiansand, draws less consistent attention but remains a fixture-list regular. When comparable Norwegian league matches have been scheduled, ancillary markets have materialised in over 90% of cases, particularly when both teams carry sufficient liquidity interest.
The key catalyst is Polymarket's internal scheduling and resource allocation. No recent announcements from the platform specifically confirm additional Start–Vålerenga markets, but the fixture's timing—late May, during the Eliteserien's final stretch—aligns with periods when the platform typically expands offerings. Traders should monitor Polymarket's official feed for any conditional market approvals in the week preceding the match. Fixture postponement or cancellation would invalidate the conditional trigger entirely, though no such disruptions are currently flagged.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $116K.
Methodology
We track IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
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