Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Inter Miami CF will travel to face Philadelphia Union on 24 May at 7:00 PM ET in an MLS regular-season fixture. Polymarket currently prices the "More Markets" contract at 16% probability, reflecting trader conviction that additional betting markets will not materialise for this specific match before the settlement deadline on 24 May at 23:00 UTC. The contract sits on Polygon, denominated in USDC, with conditional token mechanics that resolve based on whether supplementary markets launch on the platform during the window.

Historical precedent suggests MLS matches of this profile—mid-table Eastern Conference sides, regular-season fixture—typically attract limited secondary market creation on Polymarket. Comparable May fixtures between non-marquee teams in prior seasons have settled with minimal market proliferation beyond the core match outcome and spread contracts. The 16% implied probability aligns with trader experience that Polymarket's market creation incentives favour higher-profile competitions or fixtures with substantial volume concentration.

The primary catalyst remains Polymarket's own operational decisions around market expansion for this fixture. No recent announcements from either club or the league suggest unusual commercial interest that would drive platform activity. Traders should monitor whether any injury updates to key players, playoff implications, or fixture rescheduling announcements emerge before settlement, as these could theoretically prompt additional market creation. The settlement window's tight closure—matching the match kickoff—means any market launches must occur within hours of the final whistle, a structural constraint that historically depresses probability for such contracts.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.