Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Columbus Crew (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Columbus Crew (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Atlanta United FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Columbus Crew will host Atlanta United FC on 24 May 2026 in an MLS regular-season fixture scheduled for 17:00 ET. The market currently trades at 100% YES on Polygon, reflecting full certainty that additional betting markets will be offered for this match. On Polymarket, this contract settles in USDC against conditional tokens that fragment based on whether supplementary markets—such as first goalscorer, total corners, or half-time results—appear alongside the primary match outcome contracts.
Historical precedent suggests MLS fixtures of this profile almost universally receive expanded market coverage. Columbus-Atlanta matchups, particularly during the May fixture congestion period, have consistently attracted multi-market offerings from Polymarket's liquidity providers. The 100% probability reflects not speculative confidence but rather the operational standard: Polymarket's market creators have deployed additional markets for comparable MLS contests in 2024 and 2025, establishing a pattern traders can reference when evaluating settlement risk.
Catalysts affecting settlement centre on Polymarket's operational capacity and MLS scheduling confirmation. The settlement window closes 24 May at 21:00 UTC, providing a six-hour buffer after final whistle. Traders should monitor whether MLS announces fixture postponements or venue changes—weather disruptions in Ohio or Georgia could theoretically delay the match, though rescheduling would likely trigger market extension rather than settlement failure. Polymarket's creator discretion on what constitutes "more markets" remains the primary variable; clarification of this definition before settlement would reduce ambiguity for conditional token holders.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $206K.
Methodology
We track Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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