Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants

Platform comparison

Market context

The Pittsburgh Pirates travel to San Francisco on 10 May for a regular-season matchup against the Giants. Polymarket currently prices Pirates victory at 0%, reflecting either extreme confidence in a Giants win or illiquidity in the conditional token pair on Polygon. The settlement window extends to 17 May at 20:05 UTC, allowing for postponements common in early May baseball. Any cancellation without a make-up game triggers a 50-50 resolution, whilst ties—exceedingly rare in MLB—similarly split the contract.

Historical context matters here: the Pirates have won roughly 46% of their matchups against the Giants over the past decade, though recent seasons show considerable variance. The Giants' 2024 campaign saw them finish below .500, whilst Pittsburgh has alternated between competitive and rebuilding phases. A 0% price on Pirates victory suggests either the market has priced in specific roster information unavailable at contract creation, or the liquidity pool is too shallow to reflect genuine uncertainty. Early May weather in San Francisco occasionally forces postponements, which would keep the market open beyond the initial game date.

Traders should monitor starting pitcher announcements—typically confirmed 24 hours before game time—and any late roster moves. Recent injury reports from either club could shift the underlying matchup dynamics significantly. Weather forecasts for San Francisco Bay on 10 May will determine postponement risk. The Giants' home-field advantage at Oracle Park historically favours them, though this alone does not justify a 0% price on the Pirates without additional context on pitching matchups or roster availability.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.mlb.com/. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.