LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing RED Canids to win this CBLOL upper-bracket semi-final at 100% YES, so the contract is effectively assumed to be already decided in RED’s favour. The event itself is a best-of-five between RED Canids and Fluxo W7M, settled in USDC on Polygon through conditional tokens. For the market to resolve to RED Canids, the series has to be completed with RED taking the match; if it is cancelled, left unresolved beyond seven days, or otherwise falls into the contract’s contingency rules, the payout changes accordingly.

The historical read is straightforward: RED have the stronger recent record in the sources available, including a 2-0 sweep over Fluxo W7M in their most recent meeting and a higher standing across the split. GosuGamers lists RED at world ranking 32 versus Fluxo W7M at 126, while Sheep Esports and Polymarket’s own event page both frame RED as the side entering with clearer momentum. That matters for traders because a 100% price leaves no room for match execution risk, draft variance, or the best-of-five format, all of which can still matter in League of Legends even when one side is favoured on form.

The main catalysts now are administrative rather than competitive: whether the series starts on schedule, whether there are any broadcast or bracket changes, and whether results are published promptly enough to confirm settlement before the window closes at 22:00 UTC. Polymarket’s rules defer to final results, with credible reporting only used if official results are not published within the stipulated period. RFT.GG’s pre-match numbers also point to a relatively close macro profile in some lanes, so any late roster or draft-related announcement would matter more for the exact series outcome than for the already-maxed market price.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.