LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

Movistar KOI face G2 Esports in a League of Legends best-of-three match within the LEC Regular Season on 10 May 2026. The Polymarket contract currently prices KOI's victory at zero, reflecting the conditional token structure on Polygon where YES shares (KOI win) trade at negligible USDC value whilst G2 dominance commands the full settlement range. The match begins at 12:00 PM ET, with resolution occurring by 22:25 UTC the same day barring delays exceeding seven days.

G2 Esports have established themselves as consistent LEC contenders, historically favoured in matchups against mid-table Spanish franchises. KOI's roster composition and recent form relative to G2's established infrastructure typically generates asymmetric pricing in G2's favour across prediction markets. Prior LEC seasons show similar matchups between established organisations and newer franchises settling decisively toward the stronger squad, though upset potential remains non-zero in best-of-three formats where individual game variance matters.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions announced before the 12:00 PM ET start time, as LEC teams occasionally field different line-ups for regular season matches. Schedule adherence matters critically here—any postponement beyond 7 May without completion triggers the 50-50 resolution clause, converting the contract into a coin flip regardless of underlying competitive expectation. Recent LEC broadcasts have maintained consistent scheduling, though technical issues or player unavailability could force delays.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/lec. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.