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LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

60 outcomes · leader: Game 1 Winner at 100%

50% YES 50% NO Volume: $926K 24h volume: $924K Liquidity: $588K Opened: 4 May 2026 Closes: 11 May 2026

Resolution criteria: This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Team Liquid in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 10 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against LYON. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begin

Trade on PolyGram →
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Market statistics

Total volume
$926K
24h volume
$924K
Liquidity
$588K
Open interest
$668K

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
PolyGram Pick
polygram.ink
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on PolyGram →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on PolyGram →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on PolyGram →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on PolyGram →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on PolyGram →

Available prediction outcomes (60)

Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.

#1 Game 1 Winner
Game 1 Winner ▲ +50.0%
Vol $183K · 24h $183K
100% Trade →
#2 O/U 2.5 Games
O/U 2.5 Games ▲ +51.9%
Vol $571 · 24h $571
100% Trade →
#3 Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 2?
Vol $10 · 24h $10
100% Trade →
#4 Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2? ▲ +50.0%
Vol $132 · 24h $132
100% Trade →
#5 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? ▲ +50.0%
Vol $82 · 24h $82
100% Trade →
#6 Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2? ▲ +50.0%
Vol $82 · 24h $82
100% Trade →
#7 First Blood in Game 1?
First Blood in Game 1? ▲ +49.5%
Vol $50 · 24h $50
100% Trade →
#8 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? ▲ +41.0%
Vol $52 · 24h $52
100% Trade →
#9 Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2? ▲ +49.5%
Liq $516
100% Trade →
#10 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? ▲ +49.5%
Liq $516
100% Trade →
#11 First Blood in Game 2?
First Blood in Game 2? ▲ +49.5%
Vol $70 · 24h $70
100% Trade →
#12 Total Kills Over/Under 20.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 20.5 in Game 1?
Vol $10 · 24h $10
100% Trade →
#13 Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 2?
Vol $5 · 24h $5
100% Trade →
#14 Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?
Vol $5 · 24h $5
100% Trade →
#15 Total Kills Over/Under 20.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 20.5 in Game 2?
Vol $5 · 24h $5
100% Trade →
#16 Total Kills Over/Under 19.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 19.5 in Game 2?
Vol $10 · 24h $10
100% Trade →
#17 Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2?
Vol $10 · 24h $10
100% Trade →
#18 Both Teams Slay a Dragon
Both Teams Slay a Dragon ▲ +23.5%
Vol $1 · 24h $1
90% Trade →
#19 Odd/Even Total Kills
Odd/Even Total Kills ▲ +40.0%
Liq $118
90% Trade →
#20 Total Kills Over/Under 19.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 19.5 in Game 1?
Vol $10 · 24h $10
90% Trade →
#21 Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?
Vol $10 · 24h $10
90% Trade →
#22 Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1?
Vol $10 · 24h $10
90% Trade →
#23 Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?
Vol $10 · 24h $10
90% Trade →
#24 Any Player Quadra Kill
Any Player Quadra Kill ▲ +23.5%
50% Trade →
#25 Any Player Quadra Kill
Any Player Quadra Kill ▲ +23.5%
50% Trade →
#26 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor ▲ +23.5%
50% Trade →
#27 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors ▲ +23.5%
50% Trade →
#28 Odd/Even Total Kills
Odd/Even Total Kills
50% Trade →
#29 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor ▼ -2.0%
50% Trade →
#30 Both Teams Slay a Dragon
Both Teams Slay a Dragon ▲ +8.0%
50% Trade →
#31 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors
50% Trade →
#32 Any Player Quadra Kill
Any Player Quadra Kill ▼ -2.0%
50% Trade →
#33 Any Player Penta Kill
Any Player Penta Kill ▼ -2.5%
50% Trade →
#34 Odd/Even Total Kills
Odd/Even Total Kills
50% Trade →
#35 Any Player Penta Kill
Any Player Penta Kill ▲ +26.2%
Vol $21 · Liq $1
50% Trade →
#36 Match Winner
Match Winner ▼ -5.0%
Vol $491K · 24h $490K
45% Trade →
#37 Any Player Penta Kill
Any Player Penta Kill ▲ +32.1%
Vol $21 · Liq $7
36% Trade →
#38 Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?
Vol $10 · 24h $10
10% Trade →
#39 Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?
Vol $10 · 24h $10
10% Trade →
#40 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
Vol $10 · 24h $10
10% Trade →
#41 Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 1?
Vol $10 · 24h $10
10% Trade →
#42 Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 2?
Vol $5 · 24h $5
10% Trade →
#43 Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 2?
Vol $5 · 24h $5
10% Trade →
#44 Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 2?
Vol $5 · 24h $5
10% Trade →
#45 Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?
Vol $5 · 24h $5
10% Trade →
#46 Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?
Vol $5 · 24h $5
10% Trade →
#47 Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?
Vol $5 · 24h $5
10% Trade →
#48 Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 2?
Vol $5 · 24h $5
10% Trade →
#49 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?
Vol $5 · 24h $5
10% Trade →
#50 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor ▼ -21.0%
Liq $123
6% Trade →
#51 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors ▼ -25.4%
Vol $15 · 24h $15
1% Trade →
#52 Both Teams Slay a Dragon
Both Teams Slay a Dragon ▼ -66.2%
Liq $11
0% Trade →
#53 Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1? ▼ -49.8%
Vol $6K · 24h $6K
0% Trade →
#54 Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? ▼ -40.8%
Vol $825 · 24h $825
0% Trade →
#55 Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) ▼ -27.0%
Vol $1K · 24h $1K
0% Trade →
#56 Game 2 Winner
Game 2 Winner ▼ -50.9%
Vol $245K · 24h $245K
0% Trade →
#57 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? ▼ -46.0%
Vol $60 · 24h $60
0% Trade →
#58 Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1? ▼ -53.9%
Vol $2K · 24h $2K
0% Trade →
#59 Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) ▼ -27.5%
Vol $28K · 24h $28K
0% Trade →
#60 Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?
Vol $10 · 24h $10
0% Trade →

Market context

This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Team Liquid in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 10 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against LYON. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begin

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/lcs. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Trade LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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