Market statistics
- Total volume
- $754K
- 24h volume
- $730K
- Liquidity
- $518K
- Open interest
- $408K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Available prediction outcomes (25)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
G2 Esports face Natus Vincere in the upper bracket semifinal of the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs on 14 May at 11:00 AM ET. The match is a best-of-three format determining progression toward qualification for the main Esports World Cup event. Polymarket currently prices this contract at 100% YES, implying near-certain G2 victory. The settlement window closes at 21:00 UTC on 14 May, allowing approximately ten hours post-scheduled start for match completion and resolution confirmation.
G2 Esports have consistently ranked amongst Europe's top League of Legends organisations, regularly competing in the LEC and international tournaments. Natus Vincere, primarily known for their Counter-Strike presence, field a competitive LoL roster but operate with less established regional pedigree in this title. Historical matchups between established LEC franchises and organisations with secondary LoL commitments typically favour the former, though upsets remain possible in single-elimination formats. The 100% implied probability reflects G2's structural advantages rather than absolute certainty.
Key variables for traders include last-minute roster changes or player availability announcements, which could emerge in the 48 hours preceding the match. Schedule adherence matters significantly given the seven-day delay clause triggering 50-50 resolution. Monitoring official Esports World Cup communications and team social media for any postponement notices is essential. Technical issues during the broadcast, whilst rare, have historically caused match delays; traders should track whether the match begins on schedule and completes within the settlement window.
Wikipedia Context
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LolcatA lolcat, or LOLcat, is an image macro of one or more cats. Lolcat images' idiosyncratic and intentionally grammatically incorrect text is known as lolspeak.
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LOL (Basshunter album)LOL is the second studio album by the Swedish musician Basshunter, and was released on 28 August 2006 by Warner Music Sweden. An international edition was released on 22 December 2006, with a red version of the cover artwork. The international version includes the original album's Swedish songs with their titles translated into English, a slightly-different
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LOL - Chi ride è fuoriLOL - Chi ride è fuori is an Italian comedy reality television show based on the format of Japanese comedian Hitoshi Matsumoto's Documental. It is hosted by Fedez, Mara Maionchi and Frank Matano, The first four episodes were published on 1 April 2021, while the remaining two were made available on April 8.
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LOL (2012 film)LOL is a 2012 American teen romantic comedy-drama film written and directed by Lisa Azuelos. A remake of the 2008 French film LOL , the film stars Miley Cyrus, Demi Moore, Ashley Greene, and Adam Sevani.
Methodology
We track LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/ewclol2026. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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