Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
55% | 45% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
55% | 45% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) | 55% YES | 45% NO |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5) | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Dplus KIA face T1 in the upper bracket final of the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, a best-of-five League of Legends match scheduled for 25 May at 08:00 KST. The conditional token on Polymarket currently prices Dplus KIA's victory at 56%, reflecting marginal favouritism despite T1's historical dominance in Korean domestic competition. Settlement occurs on-chain via USDC on Polygon, with the market resolving to a 50-50 split should the match be cancelled, delayed beyond seven days without completion, or end in a tie—an unlikely scenario in League of Legends' structured format.
T1 remain the benchmark franchise in Korean League, having won three Worlds titles and consistently finishing atop LCK standings. However, Dplus KIA's recent form and roster composition merit the slight market lean. The 56% probability reflects uncertainty around patch-dependent meta shifts and individual player performance variance in high-stakes playoffs. Comparable upper bracket finals in LCK history show that seeding and recent momentum often outweigh legacy credentials, particularly when teams have invested in roster changes or strategic refinement heading into international qualifiers.
Traders should monitor official LCK announcements regarding any schedule adjustments, player availability, or technical issues in the days preceding the match. Patch notes released before 25 May could materially shift win conditions, particularly affecting champion pools and early-game tempo. Team-specific roster confirmations and any last-minute coaching staff changes warrant attention, as these frequently influence pick-ban strategy in best-of-five formats where adaptation becomes decisive.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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