LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

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Active sub-markets

Market context

HANJIN BRION face DN SOOPers in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the LCK's opening rounds, scheduled for 15 May at 6:00 AM ET. The Polymarket contract currently prices this fixture at 100% implied probability for a HANJIN BRION victory, with settlement contingent on match completion by 22 May. This extreme skew reflects either substantial backing for the favourites or minimal liquidity in the conditional token pair on Polygon; USDC deposits into this market have concentrated heavily on the YES side, leaving the DN SOOPers outcome with negligible open interest.

Historical LCK match cancellations remain rare, though schedule disruptions have occurred during roster transitions and infrastructure issues. The 7-day grace period embedded in the settlement terms mirrors standard esports market design, accounting for potential broadcast delays or technical pauses that don't invalidate the match itself. Previous seasons show that opening-round fixtures rarely forfeit unless organisational collapse precedes them—a low-probability scenario for both teams given their LCK licensing status.

Traders should monitor LCK official announcements for any roster changes, coach departures, or venue complications in the 48 hours before fixture time. Recent Korean esports reporting has flagged minor scheduling adjustments within the spring season, though no material disruptions affecting these squads have surfaced. The settlement window closes immediately post-match, meaning delayed broadcasts or overtime play won't extend the resolution window; any technical failure to determine a winner within the deadline triggers the 50-50 split clause.

Methodology

We track LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.