Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Cusco FC and Independiente Medellín are due to meet in Copa Libertadores group play, and Polymarket’s “More Markets” contract is still sitting at 0% YES, which leaves the conditional tokens on Polygon priced as though no additional market qualifier has been confirmed yet. With settlement tied to the 21:00 ET window, traders are effectively watching whether the listed side markets ever become available, rather than simply the result in Peru.

Zero-priced contracts like this are often a function of timing and scope rather than a view on the football itself. On Polymarket, USDC-backed positions only resolve if the contract’s exact wording is met, so a 0% print can persist when the market is not yet live, when the contract is narrowly defined, or when the exchange has not posted the relevant “more markets” slate. In comparable continental fixtures, late market additions have tended to track official line-ups, disciplinary updates and confirmed broadcast or trader listings, not pre-match punditry.

The main catalysts are administrative rather than tactical: whether Polymarket posts any extra sub-markets before kick-off, whether CONMEBOL or the clubs release late squad news that changes market availability, and whether the exchange’s settlement source clearly tags the match as eligible within the window. Recent live-score listings from FotMob and Sofascore confirm the fixture and venue, but they do not by themselves establish which derivatives Polymarket will recognise, so the contract still hinges on the platform’s own market creation and the underlying event log.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.