Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing Cusco FC v Independiente Medellín at 0% YES, so the contract is effectively being treated as dead money in USDC on Polygon unless fresh information changes the market before settlement. The setup is a Copa Libertadores group match, with Cusco hosting the return fixture after Medellín won the first meeting 1-0 in Colombia on 30 April. In practical terms, the conditional token settles on the match result as defined by the market rules, not on broader group implications, so traders need the actual scoreline and official match status rather than the table alone.

The closest read is that Medellín have already shown they can control this pairing, and the group context does not force a wild game: ESPN listed Medellín’s recent group position at 2-1-1 with seven points, while Cusco were bottom on one point after five matches in the available data. Goal.com noted the return leg as a direct contest between teams fighting to shape Group A, but the first leg ended narrow and low-scoring, which is the main comparable case for how this market should be read. On-chain, the key catalyst is not sentiment but whether the lineup, venue, and kick-off details hold; FotMob and Sofascore both listed Cusco at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, and any late suspension, weather disruption, or official postponement would matter more here than pre-match opinion.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.