Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Legit? Pick polygram.ink |
99% | 1% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
99% | 1% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Legit?.
Active sub-markets
| Roland Garros WTA: Emma Navarro vs Janice Tjen | 99% YES | 2% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Roland Garros WTA: Emma Navarro vs Janice Tjen Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Roland Garros WTA: Emma Navarro vs Janice Tjen Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Roland Garros WTA: Emma Navarro vs Janice Tjen Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Roland Garros WTA: Emma Navarro vs Janice Tjen Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Market context
This market refers to the tennis match between Emma Navarro and Janice Tjen in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emma Navarro' if Emma Navarro advances against Janice Tjen. This market will resolve to 'Janice Tjen' if Janice Tjen advances against Emma Navarro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve
Methodology
We track Roland Garros WTA: Emma Navarro vs Janice Tjen on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legit??
- Zero. Polymarket Legit? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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