Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legit?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-4.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-6.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-7.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-5.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+5.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-4.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: RRQ (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Rex Regum Qeon (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-8.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+8.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+3.5) | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: rex regum qeon vs edward gaming (bo3) - esports world cup group a stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Elimination match between Rex Regum Qeon and EDward Gaming in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 4 at 7:00AM ET. This m…
Methodology
We track Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Legit? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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