Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legit?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs G2 Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs G2 Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-5.5) vs G2 Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-6.5) vs G2 Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-7.5) vs G2 Esports (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-5.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs G2 Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs G2 Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-5.5) vs G2 Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-6.5) vs G2 Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-7.5) vs G2 Esports (+7.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-6.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: g2 esports vs nongshim redforce (bo3) - esports world cup group c. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between G2 Esports and Nongshim RedForce in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 3 at 9:45AM ET. This market will r…
Methodology
We track Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Legit?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Legit? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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