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Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

Five-platform snapshot of "Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

45% YES 55% NO Volume: $122K Liquidity: $28K Closes: 29 Jun 2026
Trade on Polymarket Legit? →
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket Legit? Pick
polygram.ink
 45% 55% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 45% 55% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket Legit? →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Legit?.

Active sub-markets

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets45% Chicago Cubs55% New York Mets
NRFI72% YES28% NO
Spread -1.527% Chicago Cubs74% New York Mets
O/U 8.547% Over54% Under
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.545% Chicago Cubs55% New York Mets
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.545% New York Mets55% Chicago Cubs

Market context

Market consensus: 45% chance of chicago cubs vs. new york mets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and New York Mets, scheduled for June 22 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the gam…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 45% probability for "Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets".

YES 45% NO 55%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $122K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legit? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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