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Uruguay vs. Spain - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Uruguay vs. Spain - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Spain 37% Uruguay 64% Volume: $600K Liquidity: $3.2M Closes: 27 Jun 2026
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Uruguay vs. Spain - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket Legit? Pick
polygram.ink
37% 63% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
37% 63% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket Legit? →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket Legit? →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Legit?.

Active sub-markets

Spain (-1.5)37% Spain64% Uruguay
Spain (-2.5)17% Spain84% Uruguay
O/U 1.571% Over30% Under
O/U 3.524% Over77% Under
O/U 5.54% Over96% Under
Uruguay (-1.5)3% Uruguay97% Spain

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 37% probability to uruguay vs. spain - more markets. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 26 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legit??
Zero. Polymarket Legit? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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