Türkiye vs. Paraguay - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing **Türkiye vs Paraguay – Exact Score** at about **8% YES**, so the contract implies only a modest chance that the final 90-minute score lands on one of the listed exact outcomes and not “Any Other Score”. The market settles in **USDC on Polygon** via conditional tokens, and it will use the score at full time plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties do not count. FIFA lists the match in the World Cup first stage, with the live match centre confirming the fixture and venue in the San Francisco Bay Area. [6]

An 8% exact-score price is easier to read when compared with the broader match market: ESPN has Türkiye around **+105** to win, Paraguay around **+285**, and the draw around **+245**, while the total sits near **2.5 goals**. That shape usually supports a wide spread of plausible final scores rather than one dominant scoreline, which is why exact-score contracts often trade at low single-digit to low-teen probabilities even when the match itself is tightly priced. FOX Sports also lists a 2.5 total, reinforcing the view that a small number of common outcomes carry most of the mass. [2][1]

For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: the confirmed team sheets, any last-minute injuries or rotation, and whether the game state pushes towards a low-scoring draw or an open second-half finish. Because the market stays open until completion if the match is postponed, the key operational risk is not just the football itself but schedule changes and official competition updates; FIFA’s match page is the cleanest reference point for that. If the score reaches half-time at 0-0 or 1-0, the “Any Other Score” bucket typically remains more attractive than a single exact line unless late goals become likely. [6][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Türkiye vs. Paraguay - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Legit? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legit??

Zero. Polymarket Legit? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.