Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legit?) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-6.5) vs MIBR Academy (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-9.5) vs MIBR Academy (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-9.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-6.5) vs MIBR Academy (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-6.5) vs MIBR Academy (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-3.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-6.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: MIBR.A (-1.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between MIBR Academy and Patins da Ferrari in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 28 at 9:00AM ET. This mar…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Legit?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Legit? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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