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Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5) 51% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $102K Liquidity: $281K Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legit?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Map 2 Winner44%
Match Winner42%
Map 1 Winner41%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)39%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)39%
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)32%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 51% YES probability for Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between MIBR and 9z in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 5 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR w…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Legit? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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