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Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-6.5) vs NEW VISION (+6.5) 100% Volume: $159K Closes: 30 Jun 2026
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Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legit?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-6.5) vs NEW VISION (+6.5)100%
Map Handicap: LILMIX (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-9.5) vs NEW VISION (+9.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-9.5) vs NEW VISION (+9.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-3.5) vs Lilmix (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-6.5) vs Lilmix (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NEW VISION (-3.5) vs Lilmix (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-12.5) vs NEW VISION (+12.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: lilmix vs new vision (bo3) - cct europe challengers series playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between Lilmix and NEW VISION in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 30 at…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Legit? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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