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Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

46% YES 54% NO Volume: $144K Liquidity: $150K Closes: 31 May 2026
Trade on PolyGram →

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
PolyGram Pick
polygram.ink
46% 54% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on PolyGram →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
46% 54% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on PolyGram →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on PolyGram →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on PolyGram →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on PolyGram →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.

Active sub-markets

Market context

This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Llamas Ruiz' if Pablo Llamas Ruiz advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Pablo Llamas Ruiz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the sche

Methodology

This page reviews Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

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