Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik Set 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
This market refers to the tennis match between Edas Butvilas and Alexander Bublik in the Geneva Open, originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Edas Butvilas' if Edas Butvilas advances against Alexander Bublik. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Edas Butvilas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this m
Methodology
We track Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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