Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Legit? Pick polygram.ink |
6% | 94% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
6% | 94% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Legit? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Legit?.
Active sub-markets
| Scotland 0 - 0 Brazil | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Scotland 0 - 1 Brazil | 14% YES | 87% NO |
| Scotland 1 - 0 Brazil | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Scotland 0 - 2 Brazil | 14% YES | 86% NO |
| Scotland 1 - 1 Brazil | 8% YES | 93% NO |
| Scotland 2 - 0 Brazil | 1% YES | 99% NO |
Market context
Scotland and Brazil face off in a pivotal FIFA World Cup Group C match on 24 June 2026 at Miami Stadium, with the clock set to start at 6:00 PM ET. On Polymarket, this exact-score contract for a specific outcome is priced at 6% YES today, reflecting the on-chain conditional tokens trading on Polygon with USDC settlement. The market resolves strictly after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties, meaning any deviation from the listed score triggers an "Any Other Score" resolution.
Historically, this fixture is sparse; the last recorded meeting was a friendly in March 2011 where Brazil won 2-0 at home, and the two nations have only played five games since 1974, with Brazil winning four and Scotland winning none [1][9]. Brazil’s recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five matches, while Scotland sits at 3 points with a 1-0-1 record in Group C, trailing Brazil’s 4 points [2]. The 6% probability aligns with Brazil’s dominance in head-to-head history and their superior group standing, yet the narrow margin suggests the market anticipates a tight contest where Scotland could frustrate the Brazilian attack.
Traders should monitor the official line-ups released shortly before kick-off and any pre-match injury updates from both camps, as Steve Clarke’s tactical approach could be the catalyst for a low-scoring draw [8]. Recent news from Goal.com highlights Brazil’s attacking strength but notes Scotland’s defensive resilience in their group stage matches, which may influence the exact score outcome [1]. With the over/under set at 2.5 goals and Brazil favoured at -278 odds, the 6% YES price implies a specific, likely low-scoring result that hinges on whether Scotland can contain Brazil’s forward line in the opening half [3].
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Legit? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legit??
- Zero. Polymarket Legit? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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