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Portugal vs. Croatia - Total Corners

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Portugal vs. Croatia - Total Corners" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Total Corners: O/U 6.5 79% Portugal Corners: O/U 3.5 77% 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 70% Total Corners: O/U 7.5 69% Volume: $179K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 2 Jul 2026
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Portugal vs. Croatia - Total Corners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legit?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Corners: O/U 6.579%
Portugal Corners: O/U 3.577%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.570%
Total Corners: O/U 7.569%
Croatia Corners: O/U 2.567%
Portugal Corners: O/U 4.563%
Team to Take First Corner62%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.561%
Total Corners: O/U 8.556%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.553%
Portugal Corners: O/U 5.550%
Total Corners: Odd or Even50%
Croatia Corners: O/U 3.548%
Total Corners: O/U 9.546%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.542%
Portugal Corners: O/U 6.535%
Total Corners: O/U 10.534%
Croatia Corners: O/U 4.532%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.531%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.528%
Total Corners: O/U 11.525%
Total Corners: O/U 12.517%

Market context

Market consensus: 79% chance of portugal vs. croatia - total corners. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Croatia, scheduled for July 2 at 7:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Portugal vs. Croatia - Total Corners across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Legit?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Legit? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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Related Topics

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