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Netherlands vs. Morocco - Player Props

Five-platform snapshot of "Netherlands vs. Morocco - Player Props" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Brian Brobbey: 1+ shots 88% Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots 77% Cody Gakpo: 4+ shots 54% Noa Lang: 2+ shots 51% Volume: $167K Liquidity: $86K Closes: 30 Jun 2026
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Netherlands vs. Morocco - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legit?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
88% 12% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
88% 12% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Brian Brobbey: 1+ shots88%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots77%
Cody Gakpo: 4+ shots54%
Noa Lang: 2+ shots51%
Cody Gakpo: 2+ shots on target51%
Guus Til: 3+ shots51%
Guus Til: 5+ shots51%
Memphis Depay: 4+ shots51%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots51%
Noa Lang: 1+ goals + assists51%
Crysencio Summerville: 1+ shots on target51%
Crysencio Summerville: 3+ shots on target51%
Guus Til: 2+ goals + assists50%
Guus Til: 3+ goals + assists50%
Guus Til: 4+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals + assists50%
Donyell Malen: 2+ shots50%
Guus Til: 2+ shots50%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots50%
Memphis Depay: 2+ shots50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots50%
Wout Weghorst: 2+ shots50%
Cody Gakpo: 1+ shots on target50%
Cody Gakpo: 3+ shots on target50%
Donyell Malen: 1+ shots on target50%
Donyell Malen: 2+ shots on target50%
Donyell Malen: 3+ shots on target50%
Memphis Depay: 1+ shots on target50%
Memphis Depay: 2+ shots on target50%
Memphis Depay: 3+ shots on target50%
Wout Weghorst: 2+ shots on target50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals + assists50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ goals + assists50%
Brian Brobbey: 1+ goals + assists50%
Brian Brobbey: 2+ goals + assists50%
Brian Brobbey: 3+ goals + assists50%
Brian Brobbey: 4+ goals + assists50%
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals + assists50%
Cody Gakpo: 2+ goals + assists50%
Cody Gakpo: 3+ goals + assists50%
Cody Gakpo: 4+ goals + assists50%
Brian Brobbey: 3+ shots50%
Brian Brobbey: 4+ shots50%
Brian Brobbey: 5+ shots50%
Cody Gakpo: 3+ shots50%
Cody Gakpo: 5+ shots50%
Crysencio Summerville: 1+ shots50%
Crysencio Summerville: 2+ shots50%
Crysencio Summerville: 3+ shots50%
Crysencio Summerville: 4+ shots50%
Crysencio Summerville: 5+ shots50%
Donyell Malen: 3+ shots50%
Donyell Malen: 4+ shots50%
Guus Til: 4+ shots50%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots50%
Ismael Saibari: 4+ shots50%
Ismael Saibari: 5+ shots50%
Memphis Depay: 3+ shots50%
Memphis Depay: 5+ shots50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ shots50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 5+ shots50%
Wout Weghorst: 3+ shots50%
Wout Weghorst: 4+ shots50%
Wout Weghorst: 5+ shots50%
Brian Brobbey: 2+ shots50%
Cody Gakpo: 1+ shots50%
Cody Gakpo: 2+ shots50%
Brian Brobbey: 1+ shots on target50%
Brian Brobbey: 2+ shots on target50%
Brian Brobbey: 3+ shots on target50%
Donyell Malen: 1+ goals + assists50%
Donyell Malen: 2+ goals + assists50%
Donyell Malen: 3+ goals + assists50%
Donyell Malen: 4+ goals + assists50%
Guus Til: 1+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 4+ goals + assists50%
Memphis Depay: 1+ goals + assists50%
Memphis Depay: 2+ goals + assists50%
Memphis Depay: 3+ goals + assists50%
Memphis Depay: 4+ goals + assists50%
Noa Lang: 3+ goals + assists50%
Noa Lang: 4+ goals + assists50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goals + assists50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ goals + assists50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goals + assists50%
Wout Weghorst: 1+ goals + assists50%
Wout Weghorst: 2+ goals + assists50%
Wout Weghorst: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots on target50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots on target50%
Guus Til: 1+ shots on target50%
Guus Til: 2+ shots on target50%
Guus Til: 3+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots on target50%
Noa Lang: 2+ shots on target50%
Noa Lang: 3+ shots on target50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots on target50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots on target50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots on target50%
Wout Weghorst: 3+ shots on target50%
Mark Flekken: 2+ saves50%
Mark Flekken: 3+ saves50%
Mark Flekken: 4+ saves50%
Mark Flekken: 5+ saves50%
Munir El Kajoui: 2+ saves50%
Munir El Kajoui: 3+ saves50%
Munir El Kajoui: 4+ saves50%
Munir El Kajoui: 5+ saves50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ shots50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 5+ shots50%
Brian Brobbey: 4+ shots on target50%
Cody Gakpo: 4+ shots on target50%
Crysencio Summerville: 2+ shots on target50%
Memphis Depay: 4+ shots on target50%
Crysencio Summerville: 1+ goals + assists50%
Crysencio Summerville: 2+ goals + assists50%
Crysencio Summerville: 3+ goals + assists50%
Crysencio Summerville: 4+ goals + assists50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots50%
Donyell Malen: 4+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals50%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots50%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots50%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots50%
Brahim Díaz: 4+ shots50%
Brahim Díaz: 5+ shots50%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ assists50%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals + assists50%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals + assists50%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals + assists50%
Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assists50%
Wout Weghorst: 1+ shots on target49%
Noa Lang: 2+ goals + assists49%
Donyell Malen: 5+ shots48%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots on target48%
Memphis Depay: 1+ shots47%
Noa Lang: 1+ shots on target47%
Wout Weghorst: 4+ goals + assists46%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots45%
Donyell Malen: 1+ shots44%
Guus Til: 1+ shots43%
Noa Lang: 1+ shots43%
Wout Weghorst: 1+ shots43%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots43%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals + assists40%
Guus Til: 3+ goals27%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals26%
Memphis Depay: 1+ assists24%
Noa Lang: 1+ assists24%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ assists23%
Donyell Malen: 1+ assists23%
Guus Til: 1+ assists23%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ assists23%
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals22%
Wout Weghorst: 1+ assists22%
Crysencio Summerville: 1+ goals19%
Cody Gakpo: 1+ assists18%
Brian Brobbey: 1+ goals14%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals14%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ assists13%
Brian Brobbey: 2+ assists13%
Cody Gakpo: 2+ assists13%
Donyell Malen: 2+ assists13%
Guus Til: 2+ assists13%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ assists13%
Crysencio Summerville: 3+ goals13%
Donyell Malen: 2+ goals13%
Guus Til: 2+ goals13%
Memphis Depay: 1+ goals13%
Memphis Depay: 2+ goals13%
Memphis Depay: 3+ goals13%
Noa Lang: 2+ goals13%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ goals13%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goals13%
Wout Weghorst: 2+ goals13%
Memphis Depay: 2+ assists13%
Noa Lang: 2+ assists13%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ assists13%
Wout Weghorst: 2+ assists13%
Crysencio Summerville: 2+ assists13%
Wout Weghorst: 3+ goals12%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals11%
Donyell Malen: 1+ goals11%
Guus Til: 1+ goals11%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals11%
Noa Lang: 1+ goals11%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goals11%
Wout Weghorst: 1+ goals11%
Brian Brobbey: 3+ goals10%
Cody Gakpo: 3+ goals10%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals10%
Brian Brobbey: 1+ assists9%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ assists9%
Crysencio Summerville: 1+ assists6%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals6%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ assists6%
Brian Brobbey: 2+ goals4%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals3%
Crysencio Summerville: 2+ goals2%
Cody Gakpo: 2+ goals2%
Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ goals + assists2%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals2%
Donyell Malen: 3+ goals0%

Market context

Netherlands vs. Morocco - Player Props — current market-implied probability: 88%. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Netherlands and Morocco, scheduled for June 29 at 9:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Netherlands vs. Morocco - Player Props across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Legit?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Legit? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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