England vs. Ghana - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup match between England and Ghana, set for 4:00 PM ET on 23 June 2026 at Boston Stadium, is a first-time World Cup encounter between these nations, with their only prior meeting occurring in March 2011. England has qualified with a flawless record of six wins and 18 goals scored without conceding, while Ghana holds a strong goal difference but faces a formidable opponent in a group where both teams currently sit with three points each.

Historically, exact-score markets in World Cup knockout or tight group-stage games often settle at low probabilities, typically between 3% and 7%, as seen in comparable 2022 and 2018 fixtures where single-goal margins dominated but precise outcomes like 2-1 or 3-1 remained rare. The current 5% crowd-implied probability aligns with this pattern, reflecting the high variance in scoring and England’s defensive solidity, which makes any specific scoreline less likely than a general win or over/under outcome.

Traders should monitor final line-up announcements, injury updates for key players like Harry Kane and Declan Rice, and weather conditions at Boston Stadium, as these factors directly influence on-chain conditional token pricing on Polygon using USDC. Recent reports from Fox Sports indicate England is favoured with odds of -476, while Ghana sits at +1250, suggesting a potential 2-0 or 3-1 outcome is more probable than the exact-score options listed, with the over/under 2.5 goals market priced at -154 for the over [1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Legit?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legit??

Zero. Polymarket Legit? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legit? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.