Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC - More Markets

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Burnley and Wolverhampton meet on 24 May in what could be a decisive fixture for both clubs' Premier League standings. The match kicks off at 11:00 AM ET, with settlement occurring at 15:00 UTC the same day. Polymarket currently prices this contract at 5% YES, reflecting a market view that the specific outcome being wagered upon remains unlikely. Traders holding USDC on Polygon can enter or exit positions in the conditional tokens underpinning this market through the settlement window.

Historical precedent suggests tight pricing around late-season Premier League encounters involving mid-table sides. When Burnley and Wolves have met in May fixtures over the past three seasons, outcomes have often hinged on injury status and European qualification pressure rather than pre-match form alone. The 5% probability sits well below typical odds for comparable fixtures, signalling either strong conviction around a particular outcome or limited liquidity driving the price to an extreme.

Traders should monitor team news releases through 23 May, particularly regarding squad availability for either side. Burnley's injury list and Wolves' European commitments—should they qualify for continental competition—represent material catalysts. Fixture congestion and managerial statements in the week preceding the match often shift market sentiment sharply. The early kick-off time itself may influence betting patterns, as it limits the window for late-breaking information to influence positions before settlement.

Methodology

We track Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.